How the Voting Rule Changes the Outcome
A voting rule defines what 'most preferred' means, so changing the rule can change the winner without any voter changing their mind.
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How does the voting rule change the outcome of an election?
Three candidates, 100 voters, four common voting rules — and four different winners. The rule is the only thing that changes.
Most people assume a 'fair' election yields one clear winner. So why can the same group of voters elect different candidates depending on how ballots are counted?
Side-by-side tallies of the same 100 ballots under plurality, runoff, Borda count, and Condorcet, revealing which candidate wins under each.
The voting rule — not the voters — decides who wins, and each rule encodes a different definition of what 'the winner' even means.
If everyone votes honestly, whichever candidate gets the most first-choice votes should win — so the rule shouldn't really matter.
- Arrow's impossibility theorem proof
- single-winner vs multi-winner systems
- strategic voting and ballot manipulation
- real-world electoral reform advocacy
- 01Same voters, different winners?slideQuestion
Introduces a concrete scenario: 100 voters rank three candidates (A, B, C) in order of preference, and announces that four common voting rules will be applied to the same ballots.
- Three candidates, 100 voters, ranked ballots
- Four rules will be applied to identical ballots
- Question: does the rule actually change who wins?
- 02Build the electorateinteractivePrediction
Learners distribute 100 voters across ranked-ballot types and watch the running totals update before any rule is applied.
- Drag voters into A>B>C, B>A>C, B>C>A, or C>B>A groups
- Watch the bar chart of preferences update live
- Notice which candidate leads in raw first-choice votes
- 03Commit to your predictionquizPrediction
Before the four rules are run, learners commit to which candidate will win under each rule, locking in their hypothesis.
- One question, four predictions
- Tests intuition about what each rule rewards
- 04Four rules, four verdictsinteractiveEvidence
Applies plurality, runoff, Borda count, and Condorcet to the same ballots in sequence, with each panel highlighting its winner in a shared results grid.
- Plurality: most first-choice votes
- Runoff: top two advance, second round decides
- Borda: points by rank position
- Condorcet: beats every rival head-to-head
- 05Why the verdicts disagreeslideExplanation
Explains that each rule encodes a different definition of 'most preferred' — most first choices, broadest acceptability, strongest head-to-head record — and these criteria diverge when there are three or more candidates.
- Plurality rewards peak first-choice support
- Borda rewards consistent high ranking across voters
- Runoff and Condorcet reward head-to-head strength
- With three candidates, these definitions need not agree
- 06Tweak the electorateinteractiveTransfer
Learners shift voters between ranking groups and observe which winners change under which rules, building intuition for how sensitive each rule is to the preference profile.
- Move 10 voters from one group to another
- Watch each rule's winner update independently
- Notice rules that flip easily vs rules that resist change
- 07When the rule stops matteringslideBoundary
Shows that with only two candidates every standard rule yields the same winner, framing the divergence as a feature of multi-candidate elections rather than a flaw of any single rule.
- Two-candidate elections: every rule agrees
- Three or more candidates: definitions of 'most preferred' can split
- The disagreement is structural, not procedural error
- 08The rule is the decisionslideResolution
Resolves the driving question directly: the voting rule changes the outcome because each rule operationalizes a different definition of victory, and with three or more candidates these definitions can pick different winners from the same ballots.
- Direct answer to the driving question
- Same ballots, different rules, different winners
- Choosing a rule is choosing a definition of 'most preferred'
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